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Speculative, expensive and downcast – the new stock market leadership

Markets / July 31, 2022 / Admin / 0

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Mid-June marked a turning point for the stock market and new leadership emerged for the recent surge, according to Credit Suisse.

The driving returns were speculative stocks (high correlation with Bitcoin (BTC-USD)), Expensive (high P/E), Beaten (lower over 52 weeks), Volatile (strong correlation with falling VIX (VIX)) and strongly shorted.

The S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA: SPY) is up about 10% since mid-June. During this period, speculative stocks had the best return at an equal weighting of 16.8%, closely followed by expensive stocks, up 16.6%. Beaten Down shares returned 14.6%, Volatile rose 14.1% and Highly Shorted shares returned 10.3%.

“With falling commodity prices and weakening economic data, inflation is expected, based on both breakevens and economists’ forecasts, to decline steadily over the next 24 months,” the analysts wrote. Credit Suisse equity analysts. “We believe this will lead the Fed to move towards more accommodative policy as we head into the end of the year, supporting a continuation of the current market rally and factor leadership.”

Here are the top 50 stocks exposed to these factors:

  1. Ceridian (CDAY): Spec, Exp, BD, Vol, HS
  2. American Airlines (AAL): Specs, Exp, Flight, HS
  3. Generac (GNRC): Spec, BD, Vol, HS
  4. Carnival (CCL): Spec, BD, Vol, HS
  5. Caesars (CZR): Spec, BD, Vol, HS
  6. Etsy (ETSY): Spec, Comics, Vol, HS
  7. Nowegian Cruise (NCLH): Spec, BD, Flight, HS
  8. Penn National (Penn): Spec, BD, HS
  9. Salesforce (CRM): Spec, Exp, BD, Flight
  10. Intuit (INTU): Spec, Exp, BD, Vol
  11. Paycom (PAYC): Spec, Exp, BD, Flight
  12. Las Vegas Sands (LVS): Exp, BD, Flight
  13. PVH (PVH): Spec, BD, Flight
  14. Royal Caribbean (RCL): BD, Flight, HS
  15. Tesla (TSLA): Spec, Exp, Flight
  16. Wynn Resorts (WYNN): BD, Flight, HS
  17. DexCom (DXCM): Spec: Spec, BD, Vol
  18. Cadence Design (CDNS): Spec, Exp, Flight
  19. Enphase Energy (EPH): Spec, Exp, Vol
  20. EPAM Systems (EPAM): Spec, BD, Vol
  21. Fortinet (FTNT): Spec, Exp, Vol
  22. Monolith (MPWR): Spec, Exp, Flight
  23. ServiceNow (NOW): Spec, Exp, Vol
  24. Nvidia (NVDA): Specification, Comics, Flight
  25. PayPal (PYPL): Specs, Comics, Vol.
  26. SolarEdge (SEDG): Spec, Exp, Vol
  27. Synopsis (SNPS): Spec, Exp, Flight
  28. DISH Network (DISH): Spec, BD, HS
  29. Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD): Exp, BD, HS
  30. Albemarle (ALB): Spec, Flight
  31. Boeing (BA): Exp, BD
  32. Aptiv (APTV): Comics, vol.
  33. Bed bath and body work: BD, HS
  34. Domino’s Pizzq (DPZ): Exp, HS
  35. Expedia Group (EXPE): BD, HS
  36. Ford (F): Comics, vol.
  37. Abiomed (ABMD): Specification, Exp
  38. IDEXX Laboratories (IDXX): Exp, BD
  39. Illumina (ILMN): Exp, BD
  40. MarketAccess (MKTX): Exp, BD
  41. MSCI (MSCI): Specification, Exp

Find out why the short squeeze trend feels long in the tooth.

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